The article examines the improvement of the mechanism for export-oriented development of the manufacturing industry of the Republic of Kazakhstan in the context of digitalization based on economic and mathematical modeling. The relevance of the study is determined by the need to reduce the dependence of national exports on raw materials, increase the share of high value-added products, modernize industrial enterprises and strengthen their competitiveness in foreign markets. Although Kazakhstan’s manufacturing sector demonstrates positive production dynamics, the export structure remains significantly dependent on raw materials. The article considers digitalization not as an isolated technical process, but as a comprehensive tool for increasing productivity, product quality, production traceability, logistics efficiency and export promotion. The study proposes an integral index of export-digital readiness, an econometric model of the impact of digital and production factors on exports, and a rating model for selecting digital transformation projects.

digitalization, manufacturing industry, export-oriented development, economic and mathematical modeling, integral index, Industry 4.0, export potential, Kazakhstan.